ABSTRACT
For containment of COVID-19, most countries are following the isolate, test, treat and trace approach. Following the approach, India scaled up COVID-19 testing from about 5,000 tests per day at the end of March 2020 to more than 1 M tests per day in September 2020. Testing scale-up has seen a huge variation across states and union territories (UTs) with respect to growth rates, testing strategies, testing infrastructure, and deployment of various kit types (RT-PCR, Antigen, CBNAAT, etc). To understand the gaps in testing and prioritize appropriate interventions, it is important for national stakeholders to evaluate and rank states/UTs based on their testing performance. Indicators like total samples tested, total samples positive, tests per million, and positives per million are currently being used by epidemiologists and researchers for comparing the performance of various regions. This article proposes a robust ranking methodology to rank the states/UTs in India based on a comprehensive scoring developed by combining multiple variables for evaluating the testing performance of states/UTs. Since RT-PCR testing is considered the gold standard for COVID-19 testing, the composite score for testing performance in this article is defined by the ability of states/UTs to successfully deploy RT-PCR testing and reduce its positivity over time. Evaluating region-wise ranking can enable the identification of areas requiring immediate attention in poorly performing regions, thus channelizing efforts and resources in the right direction.
ABSTRACT
Background: The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic poses a serious public health concern worldwide. Certain regions of the globe were severely affected in terms of prevalence and mortality than other. Although the cause for this pattern is not clearly understood, lessons learned from previous epidemics and emerging evidences suggest the major role of ecological factors like ambient air pollutants (AAP) and meteorological parameters in increased COVID-19 incidence. The present study aimed to understand the impact of these factors on SARS-CoV-2 transmission and their associated mortality in major cities of India.Methods: This study used secondary AAP, meteorological and COVID-19 data from official websites for the period January-November 2020, which were divided into Pre-lockdown (January-March 2020), Phase I (April to June 2020) and Phase II (July to November 2020). After comprehensive screening, five major cities that includes 48 CPCB monitoring stations collecting daily data of ambient temperature, particulate matter PM2.5 and 10 were analysed. Spearman and Kendall’s rank correlation test was performed to understand the association between SARS-CoV-2 transmission and AAP and, meteorological variables. Similarly, case fatality rate (CFR) was determined to compute the correlation between AAP and COVID-19 related morality.Results: The level of air pollutants in major cities were significantly reduced during Phase I compared to Pre-lock down and increased upon Phase II in all the cities. During the Phase II in Delhi, the strong significant positive correlation was observed between the AAP and SARS-CoV-2 transmission. However, in Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Kolkata and Mumbai AAP levels were moderate and no correlation was noticed. The relation between AT and SARS-CoV-2 transmission was inconclusive as both positive and negative correlation observed. In addition, Delhi and Kolkata showed a positive association between long-term exposure to the AAP and COVID-19 CFR. Conclusion: Our findings support the hypothesis that the particulate matter upon exceeding the satisfactory level serves as an important cofactor in increasing the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and related mortality. These findings would help public health experts to understand the SARS-CoV-2 transmission against ecological variables in India and provides supporting evidence to healthcare policymakers and government agencies for formulating strategies to combat the COVID-19.